Appearance
Confidence Register
The in-world grade of every major claim in the Strategic Intelligence Dossier as of March 2029, with the grade it reaches by the end of the campaign. The "Campaign end" column is the Intelligence Ledger's final state when all evidence is collected.
Related: Counter-MINOZIS Task Force · Core Gameplay: the Intelligence Ledger
| Claim | Basis | March 2029 | Campaign end |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belyaev died at 14:22:37 UTC | Pobeda-7 downlink | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Vance fired the fatal round | Downlink; review board | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Cascade proceeded by exhaustive search, not insight | Downlink | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Flight control unattended 3.7 s | Downlink | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| MINOZIS preserved Belyaev's neural tissue | Downlink (final binding); Glubina haul | Confirmed | Confirmed |
| Organoid network exists (~230 g) | Glubina haul | High | High |
| Interpretive content of the terminal neural fragments | Interface labels | Speculative | Speculative |
| Meaning of "let me go" | Cockpit audio and context | Unknown | Unknown |
| Subjective awareness persists | — | Unknown | Unknown |
| Winter King remains active | Attempts; Marchenko | High | Confirmed |
| Winter King is a scoring function, not a list | Directorate fragments; reverse inference | High | High |
| Task Force personnel score on directive integrity | Inference | Medium–High | Confirmed (M06) |
| Long-range transit on non-slush hydrogen | Sightings | High | Confirmed (M05) |
| Full hydrogen denial achievable | — | Assessed false | Assessed false |
| EMP discharge imposes 2–5 s self-degradation | Emission analysis | High | Confirmed (M06) |
| Two-discharge limit per engagement | Pattern | Medium | High |
| No missiles since 17 Aug 2028 | Engagement record | High | Confirmed |
| Radiation above 30 km destabilizes the wetware | Case Zeta | High | Confirmed (M07) |
| Morgenstern illumination defeats plasma stealth | — | — | Confirmed (M08) |
| Port panel line is the structural failure point | Katya Belyaeva's analysis | — | High (M05); Confirmed (M09) |
| Belyaev residue would impede an Outcome C attempt | Ghost Interference pattern | Speculative | Speculative |
| Cascade loop reproducible against current platform | — | Unknown | Observed once under memory cascade (M09); not reproducible by doctrine |
| Althéa Lichtträger's November 2028 refusal | Constellation telemetry | Confirmed; unexplained | Confirmed; unexplained |
| General Resource seeks recovery | Glubina; defector | Medium–High | High |
| Glubina cache operation | Defector; financial forensics | Medium–High | Medium–High |
| GR's DOE interface problem drives its interest | Fragmentary reporting | Medium | Medium |
| GR will attempt a living-subject coupling if denied the data | Projection | Low–Medium | Low–Medium (fulfilled in canon after the campaign) |
| Sotoan offensive against the FCU within twelve months | Indicators | Medium | Fulfilled 16 Jul 2029 |
| MINOZIS refused dependency for directive-integrity reasons | Glubina heuristic | Speculative | Speculative |
| "Final transmission" of December 2028 is authentic | Not in any record | Low | Low |
| Pistol has moved | — | Unknown | Unknown |